A Preliminary Analysis of Sea-Surface Temperature Forecasting: Removal of Annual Variation.
NAVY ELECTRONICS LAB SAN DIEGO CALIF
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It is desirable to predict sea-surface temperatures into the future. Prediction intervals may be a few days, a few months, or even several years for long term prediction. There exist several long term records of daily surface temperatures taken at fixed locations. These records vary from five to eight years in length with only a moderate amount of missing data. The ultimate goal of a current study is the determination of a method of using certain characteristics of these long term records to forecast surface temperatures several months into the future. The same methods could be extended to forecast tactically important underwater sound velocities as a function of depth and geographical location. The immediate goal of this memorandum is to record a background for such a study, to do certain preliminary work in time series analysis, and to outline the next phase of the work. Author
- Physical and Dynamic Oceanography
- Statistics and Probability