Accession Number:

ADA050493

Title:

Evaluating Air Combat Maneuvering Engagements. Volume I. Methodology,

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ARLINGTON VA OPERATIONS EVALUATION GROUP

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1976-09-01

Pagination or Media Count:

58.0

Abstract:

This study describes two stochastic models useful in evaluating air-to-air engagements between high-performance fighter aircraft. The Maneuver Conversion Model is applicable to engagements where a successful outcome is determined primarily by maneuvering effectiveness of the combatants. The Firing Sequence Model is intended for analysis of engagements where a successful outcome depends primarily on aircrew ability to capitalize on weapon performance. Common measures of effectiveness, such as the probability of achieving first weapon firing and the exchange ratio, may be estimated by these models. The methodology for both models is based on the theory of semi-Markov processes. Volume I presents the analytic methodologies for the models and provides illustrations with simulated data. Volume II contains an analysis of data gathered under CNO Project PV2 Battle Cry, and illustrates the Maneuver Conversion Model methodology. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE