Deterrence Failures and Deterrence Strategies,
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
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The alternative perspective developed in this essay contends that a nations long-term political, economic, and social prospects dominate narrow military considerations in a decision on whether or not to go to war. If long-term prospects seem bright to a nations NCANational Command Authority, it will find the current state of affairs on the whole acceptable. In this case a nation might not go to war even when presented with certain military success. On the other hand, if long-term prospects seem dim to a nations NCA, it will find the current state of affairs intolerable, in that existing trends define those long-term developments. In this case a nation might go to war in the face of likely military defeat.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics