Life Cycle Costing of an Emerging Technology: The Fiber Optics Case.
Final rept. Mar 75-Mar 76,
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF
Pagination or Media Count:
As significant technological advances in fiber optics and optical data transmission methods are being made, it is necessary to develop appropriate methods for estimating life cycle costs for alternative coaxialtwisted pair wire and optical fiber avionics. In Volume One measures of effectiveness are suggested for each alternative system. An approach, which structures the technological and demand uncertainties of fiber optics, is developed through scenarios as a means of relating cost and effectiveness. It is suggested that Delphi and experience curve techniques be used in conjunction with ordered scenarios as a technological forecasting technique for estimation of life cycle costs of fiber optics. In addition, a review of the historical and technological background of fiber optics and their application to the Naval Electronics Laboratory center NELC A-7 Airborne Light Optical Fiber Technology ALOFT Program is included. Author
- Economics and Cost Analysis
- Fiber Optics and Integrated Optics
- Non-Radio Communications