The Timeliness of a NATO Response to an Impending Warsaw Pact Attack
DECISIONS AND DESIGNS INC MCLEAN VA
Pagination or Media Count:
This study focuses on an assessment of NATO readiness in the event of a Warsaw Pact attack. The purpose of the study was to develop a methodology for understanding the NATO decision-making process during periods of rising tensions involving the increasingly strong possibility of an attack by the Warsaw Pact countries. The particular question addressed by the study was--If the Warsaw Pact were to attack at the end of a 30-day mobilization cycle, at what point in time after the Pact begins to mobilize would NATO initiate a state of reinforced alert. An answer to this question can serve as an input for determining the most likely state of NATO readiness on Warsaw Pact D-day. Obviously, there may be as many answers to questions about NATO reaction time as there are experts with plausible scenarios. However, since there is no one set of correct answers, the development of new techniques and insights to assist military planners in making more realistic, defensible estimates of NATO mobilization time is perceived to be of considerable value with respect to U.S. General Purpose Force Planning and in Mutual and Balanced Force Reduction MBFR negotiations.
- Government and Political Science
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics