Accession Number:

ADA026398

Title:

A Development and Comparative Analysis of Two Models for Air Defense Gun System Burst Kill Probability

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

• Heebner, David K.

Report Date:

1976-03-01

Pagination or Media Count:

62.0

Abstract:

The study describes two models for the computation of burst kill probabilities for air defense gun systems firing non-fragmenting projectiles at non-maneuvering aircraft targets. The models are contrasted in development to demonstrate the strengths, weaknesses and relative merits of each. The Weapons Command model appeared to be based on a less restrictive set of assumptions than the BDM model, but sample results showed near equivalence in model Burst Kill Probability values throughout a reasonable range of engagement conditions.

Descriptors:

• *AIR DEFENSE
• *GUNS
• *KILL PROBABILITIES
• AREA COVERAGE
• BATTLES
• MATHEMATICAL MODELS
• PREDICTIONS
• SIMULATION
• TARGETS
• THESES
• VULNERABILITY
• WAR GAMES

Subject Categories:

• Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
• Fire Control and Bombing Systems

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE