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A Development and Comparative Analysis of Two Models for Air Defense Gun System Burst Kill Probability
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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The study describes two models for the computation of burst kill probabilities for air defense gun systems firing non-fragmenting projectiles at non-maneuvering aircraft targets. The models are contrasted in development to demonstrate the strengths, weaknesses and relative merits of each. The Weapons Command model appeared to be based on a less restrictive set of assumptions than the BDM model, but sample results showed near equivalence in model Burst Kill Probability values throughout a reasonable range of engagement conditions.
APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE