A Comparison of Two Methods for Predicting Loss of Learning Due to a Break in Production
DARCOM INTERN TRAINING CENTER TEXARKANA TX
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Learning curves have received increased emphasis from private industry and the government in recent years. A reality that is associated with the learning curve but has received little formal attention is a break in production and the effect it has on follow-on first unit cost. Since a major activity of the government is the procurement of spare parts after initial production of a system is completed, reliable prediction techniques are needed for estimating first unit costs following a break in production. This report compares two such methods that have been developed by two separate and independent sources that predict the direct labor hours for the first item to be produced after a break in production has occurred.