Accession Number:

ADA022657

Title:

Quantitative Methods for Long-Range Environmental Forecasting: Long- Range European Projections. Volume 1. Summary Volume

Descriptive Note:

Interim technical rept. no. 4, Mar 1973-Feb 1974

Corporate Author:

CACI INC-FEDERAL ARLINGTON VA

Report Date:

1974-03-01

Pagination or Media Count:

77.0

Abstract:

The overall purpose of this Interim Technical Report is to provide a basis for the improvement of long-range environmental forecasting through the use of quantitative methods. This voulme provides a summary of the technical work that is presented in the second volume of the Report. The document summarizes the methodology that was developed to forecast values of 5 central environmental descriptors for the European environment of the 1985-19995 period. The descriptors considered were international conflict, international alignment, national power base, internal instability, and international trade. Forecasts of these descriptor variables are also provided. The document also describes Volume III the Research Guide of the Interim Technical Report. The Guide presents a step by step procedure that analysts can use to generate longrange environmental forecasts.

Subject Categories:

  • Economics and Cost Analysis
  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE