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Evaluation of F-16 Subsystem Options Through the Use of Mission Completion Success Probability and Designing to System Performance/Cost Models.
AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING
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The Mission Completion Success Probability MCSP and Designing to System PerformanceCost DSPC models developed by the Office of the Assistant for Study Support provide the program manager with a quantitative method of analysis to aid in reliability management. The MCSP model calculates the probability of mission completion without an abort-causing failure of a subsystem. In addition, it produces a ranking of subsystems identifying those most likely to cause aborts, and performs a sensitivity analysis on non-redundant subsystems. The DSPC model analyzes combinations of subsystem options to define those options which lead to a higher MCSP at lower cost. Various optimal configurations are presented, allowing trade-offs of MCSP for different acquisition costs, logistic support costs, or total costs. When combined with the MCSP results, the DSPC model extends the methodology for applications to life cycle cost analysis.
APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE