Accession Number:

ADA012804

Title:

Stochastic Simulations of Long-Range Forecasting Models for Less Developed Regions

Descriptive Note:

Interim technical rept.

Corporate Author:

CACI INC-FEDERAL ARLINGTON VA

Report Date:

1975-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

125.0

Abstract:

The report describes progress made to date on the development of methodologies for long-range forecasting of five central environmental descriptors--national power base, international trade, international alignment, internal instability, international conflict--for the less developed regions of Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East. The report describes 1 the regions used in the analysis and their membership 2 the strategic importance of the regions 3 the differences between the regions and the developed nations Europe that required a reoperationalization of the central environmental descriptors and their predictors and b the structuring of the forecasting model and 4 estimation techniques to be used to generate forecasting parameters to be used in stochastic simulations.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE