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Missiles, MIRVS, or Information - A Model for Comparative Assessment
ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS DIV HANSCOM AFB MA
Pagination or Media Count:
To maintain a strategy of realistic deterrence with a missile force which is by agreement limited and inferior in numbers, one must look for improvements elsewhere. Improved CEP, MIRVs, or the use of battle information are possible options. This paper presents a model and some of the results obtained in the evaluation of such dissimilar alternatives. In contrast to most strategic war models, a method of abstraction rather than simulation is used. Analytic expressions relating the key parameters are presented. Their solution leads to new insights into the nature of counterforce war and the role information can fulfill. A numerical quantity, called Counter Force Potential CFP, is defined. It describes and governs the ability of a missile force to wage an effective counterforce war.
APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE