Accession Number:

ADA007912

Title:

A Stochastic Model of Regime Change in Latin America,

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ARLINGTON VA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1975-02-20

Pagination or Media Count:

52.0

Abstract:

The paper presents a mathematical model of regime change in Latin America the model is a finite Markov chain with stationary transition probabilities. A first-order Markov chain was found to fit the data satisfactorily, although there were indications that systematic biases existed. More sophisticated models which relax some of the assumptions of finite Markov chains may result in a better fit between model and data.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE