Accession Number:

ADA007099

Title:

An Evaluation of the Bayesian Approach as a Method for Selecting the Prior Probability Distribution.

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.,

Corporate Author:

ARMY MATERIEL COMMAND TEXARKANA TEX INTERN TRAINING CENTER

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1974-05-01

Pagination or Media Count:

77.0

Abstract:

This paper presents a discussion of the Bayes Theorem and its application in reliability estimation. The proposed Bayesian Reliability Demonstration Test Plan based on the inverted gamma distribution is briefly described. To evaluate the errors produced when incorrect assumptions are made on various distribution parameters, a sensitivity analysis method is developed. Two computer programs are used to obtain some results by applying the Bayesian approach and the sensitivity analysis technique.

Subject Categories:

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Manufacturing and Industrial Engineering and Control of Production Systems

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE