Bayesian Estimation of Reliability for Components with Independent, Normally Distributed Characteristics.
PICATINNY ARSENAL DOVER N J
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This report presents an approach to component reliability assessment for the case where component reliability is defined as the probability that an appropriate set of observable characteristics will fall within specified limits and where the component characteristics are assumed to be independently and normally distributed. A Bayesian statistical approach is employed, the results of which can be directly applied in a system reliability assessment approach previously documented. The formulation, computational algorithm, and examples of applications are provided. The approach is then generalized and, as an example, applied to the Poisson process yielding time-to-failure data from an exponential distribution.
- Statistics and Probability
- Manufacturing and Industrial Engineering and Control of Production Systems