An Econometric Analysis of Volunteer Enlistments of Service and Cost Effectiveness Comparison of Service Incentive Programs
Final rept. 1 Sep 1973-30 Jun 1974
GENERAL RESEARCH CORP MCLEAN VA OPERATIONS ANALYSIS DIV
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The primary purpose of this study was to determine the cost effectiveness of various enlistment programs in attracting additional volunteers to each Service. The analysis was also aimed at determining the effects of changes in youth unemployment rates, college entrance patterns and various Service manpower policies on volunteer enlistments in each Service as well as the inter-Service effects of one Services programs on enlistments in other services. Three different methods of analysis have been used to determine program and policy effects. An econometric model of volunteer enlistments by state using explanatory variables including the number of recruiters, youth unemployment rate, militarycivilian wage and college entrance rates was used with 1972 and 1973 enlistment data. A monthly econometric time series model was also used with volunteer data in the CY71-CY73 time period with explanatory variables including militarycivilian wage, number of recruiters, bonus variables, print media advertisements, unemployment rates and inter-Service variables. Finally, survey data were analyzed to estimate effectiveness of the bonus.
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