Accession Number:

AD1104694

Title:

Memorandum for SECDEF: Restore "Shock" in Strategic Planning

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report

Corporate Author:

ARMY WAR COLLEGE CARLISLE BARRACKS PA CARLISLE BARRACKS United States

Personal Author(s):

• Freier,Nathan
• Hume,Robert
• Schaus,John

Report Date:

2020-05-05

Pagination or Media Count:

7.0

Abstract:

The Department of Defense DOD needs to re-institutionalize horizon scanning for strategic shock and integrate this perspective into its strategy, plans, and risk assessment. Defense-relevant strategic shocks are disruptive, transformational events for DOD. Though their precise origin and nature are uncertain, strategic shocks often emerge from clear trends. Shocks are often recognized in advance on some level but are nonetheless shocking because they are largely ignored.

Descriptors:

• COVID 19
• CORONAVIRUSES
• department of defense
• national security
• public health
• lessons learned
• defense planning
• leadership
• risk analysis
• pandemics
• united states
• federal budgets
• influenza

Subject Categories:

• Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE