Accession Number:

AD1104347

Title:

Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for the Advanced Joint Effectiveness Model (AJEM)

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report,01 Jan 2019,23 Apr 2020

Corporate Author:

U.S. Army CCDC Data and Analysis Center Aberdeen Proving Ground United States

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2020-07-17

Pagination or Media Count:

30.0

Abstract:

The Advanced Joint Effectiveness Model AJEM is a joint forces model developed by the U.S. Army that is used in vulnerability and lethality VL predictions for threattarget interactions. This complex model primarily generates a probability response for various components, scenarios, loss of capabilities, or summary conditions. Sensitivity analysis SA and uncertainty quantification UQ, referred to jointly as SAUQ, are disciplines that provide the working space for how model estimates changes with respect to changes in input variables. A comparative measure that will be used to characterize the effect of an input change on the predicted outcome is developed in this report. This measure will provide a practical context that stakeholders can better understand and utilize. We show graphical and tabular results using this measure.

Subject Categories:

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Computer Programming and Software
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Computer Programming and Software

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE