Accession Number:

AD1101492

Title:

Sortie-based Aircraft Component Demand Rate to Predict Requirements

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report,01 Aug 2018,01 Mar 2020

Corporate Author:

AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB United States

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2020-03-01

Pagination or Media Count:

43.0

Abstract:

Weapon System Sustainment WSS costs are growing at an increasing rate despite the vast efforts to reduce these costs. To address this problem, the purpose of this study is to explore a parsimonious change to aircraft component forecasting to reduce costly forecast error. The United States Air Force USAF predicts the demand for components modeled after the Poisson process. The number of flying hours until demand is exponentially distributed and the expected number of demands in a giving time interval has a discrete Poisson distribution. This study replaces flying hours with sorties to measure time for the purpose of demand forecasting. Many F-16 and B-52 spare parts are evaluated by employing demand

Subject Categories:

  • Aircraft
  • Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE