Accession Number:

AD1092377

Title:

Considerations for Obsolescence Prediction

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report

Corporate Author:

Naval Information Warfare Center Atlantic Hanahan United States

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2019-07-29

Pagination or Media Count:

19.0

Abstract:

Our research considers statistical and mathematical techniques that demonstrate potential for improving the predictive capabilities used by the Navy in modeling hardware obsolescence. In Section 1, we define the type of obsolescence considered in our research Section 1.1 and discuss common predictive methods in the obsolescence literature Section 1.2. In Section 3, our experiments comparing the performances of random forests and random survival forests for modeling data with right-censored responses are described.

Subject Categories:

  • Statistics and Probability

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE