Considerations for Obsolescence Prediction
Naval Information Warfare Center Atlantic Hanahan United States
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Our research considers statistical and mathematical techniques that demonstrate potential for improving the predictive capabilities used by the Navy in modeling hardware obsolescence. In Section 1, we define the type of obsolescence considered in our research Section 1.1 and discuss common predictive methods in the obsolescence literature Section 1.2. In Section 3, our experiments comparing the performances of random forests and random survival forests for modeling data with right-censored responses are described.
- Statistics and Probability