Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) Initial Operational Capability (IOC) Deterministic System
Naval Research Laboratory Monterey United States
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The Navy Earth System Prediction Capability ESPC is a coupled model that includes the NAVGEM atmospheric global forecast model, the HYCOM ocean model, and CICE sea ice model coupled together using the Earth System Modeling Framework. This report details the testing and validation of this system running in deterministic mode, which is a single forecast and data assimilation run beginning in December of 2016 and continuing throughout the calendar year of 2017. This validation and testing report is part of the delivery of the Initial Operational Capability IOC to the Navy and can be used to help guide decisions on operational promotion of the Navy ESPC system, which has been designed to provide consistent, high-quality global environmental information for Navy and DoD operations at lead times from weeks to months.