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Putins Political Philosophy: Implications for Future Russian Military Activity

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Technical Report,25 Jun 2018,23 May 2019

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US Army School of Advanced Military Studies Fort Leavenworth United States

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President Putin practices the Conservative school of political philosophy. The philosophy acknowledges the existence of a governing body, individual ownership of property, and the rule of law. These are balanced against the central concern of this school, which is the stability of the core governing body. Adherents guard against political or popular dialogue that could upend the existing government order. Seeking an alternative reality to Russias profoundly conservative political philosophy will elicit an uncooperative and violent spirit. Three vectors of research and analysis balanced against Russias persistent security dilemmas and employed across multiple historical periods supply the means to assess Putins political philosophy. Poor geography, a harsh and restrictive climate, and distance plus time the security dilemmas each contribute to the maintenance or lack thereof of national accord, national pride, and national prestige, each core concerns of Conservative political philosophical thought. Putins security decisions will reflect the same historical determination to mitigate or remove the risks associated with the dilemmas. Japan and China contest Russias access to the Pacific Ocean Putin will nurture his relationship with Beijing. Littoral states contest Russias decision space in the Caspian Sea Putin will prioritize Tehran. Putin will nurture his relationship with Ankara to undermine NATO and reduce Black Sea southern area threats. Beijing, Tehran, and Ankara are alliances of convenience. Controlling the Strait of Sicily is the next step in the Mediterranean Sea to assure sea access and improve political position. In the Baltic region, he will emphasize deterrence with Western Military District ground forces, strategic strike capability, and A2AD.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science
  • Military Forces and Organizations

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