The Modeling of Essential Services, Security, Economics, and Employment
[Technical Report, Final Report]
CENTER FOR ARMY ANALYSIS FORT BELVOIR VA
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Outcomes of irregular warfare IW are dependent upon the support of the people for their government. Effective representations of IW environments should model peoples support for their government, yet models of support, backed by quantifiable data are rare. Modeling Essential Services, Security, Economics, and Employment MESSEE uses survey data from Iraq and Afghanistan to estimate the relationships between peoples perceptions of the government and their decisions to support their government, which can help prioritize non-lethal counterinsurgency efforts and expenditures. Moreover, the estimated support equation, in turn, permits accurate estimation of a social rate of support for the government, that can be used as an input to other modeling efforts, and which is a critical measure of effectiveness MOE itself.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
- Government and Political Science