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Evolving situation in the Middle East and Future Prospect

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Technical Report,26 Jun 2017,24 May 2018

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US Army School for Advanced Military Studies Fort Leavenworth United States

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This monograph deals with the International relations and geo-politics of a region of global and strategic importance Middle East. Using a structured approach, it attempts to explore the impact of the competition among Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Qatar in shaping the future operational environment of the region. This paper argues that the enduring rivalries among key players in the region have and will continue to shape every aspect of the operational environment in the Middle East. The in depth understanding of these rivalries will not only offer violable policy options concerning the region but will also help anticipate the future. This paper draws from a wide range of Western and non-Western sources including books, articles, news, interviews, and official policy statements by the respective governments to draw pertinent conclusions and lessons. This paper concludes with a likely change in the future power structure of the region away from the status quo state Saudi Arabia, towards the revisionist state Iran. The recent regional and wider global developments, as discussed in the paper, point to the impending change in the relative power structure of the region, which will have far-reaching regional and global repercussions. This research is useful for all military and civilian professionals to understand the developments in the region in the right context and to be able to proffer viable options, if required.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

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