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Assessment of Possible Reactions in German-Speaking and East Central Europe and the European Union (GS-ECE/EU) to Possible Strategic Outcomes in U.S.-DPRK Relations

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Technical Report

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Western Carolina University Cullowhee United States

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The Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea DPRK does not currently constitute a strategic threat via inter-continental ballistic missiles ICBMs to German-Speaking and East Central Europe GS-ECE, to the States of the European Union EU, or to non-EU European States. Proven and potential cyber threats do exist, however, as does the proven threat of traditional espionage. Certain States of GS-ECEEU have direct security concerns regarding how U.S.-DPRK relations might develop. These concerns arise in the context of three international frameworks1 These States membership in NATO and their resultant commitments to the United States and Canada under a possible invocation of Article 5 of the NATO Treaty in the event of war between the U.S. and the DPRK.2 These States concurrent though separate strategic and security concerns in the European Unions Common Foreign and Security Policy CFSP and the CFSPs subsidiary Common Security and Defense Policy CSDP. The Republic of Korea ROK is a party to elements of both the CFSP and the CSDP.3 These States current as of 31 August 2018 negotiations with Japan for a Strategic Partnership Agreement to address, inter alia, matters of common security interests.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

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