Accession Number:

AD1065271

Title:

Exploring Characteristics Of An Effective Mix Of Precision And Volume Indirect Fire In Urban Operations Using Agent-Based Simulation

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA MONTEREY United States

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2018-09-01

Pagination or Media Count:

131.0

Abstract:

As the world continues its rapid rise in urbanization, the battlefield of the future will likely be urban. This thesis explores the effective mix of three types of 155mm artillery munitions with varying accuracy M982 Excalibur, M1156 Precision Guided Kit, and M795 dumb bomb in two urban battlefield scenarios. Mission success corresponds to maximizing effects on enemies with minimal fratricides and collateral damage. Pythagoras, an agent-based simulation, together with efficient design of experiments DOE, is used to study the effects and interactions of controllable factors system capabilities and uncontrollable factors environment and terrain on the intended measures of effectiveness. Regression metamodels from the DOE are then used to project a Pareto optimal frontier POF of the mixture that satisfies multi-objective functions, which includes the cost of munitions expended. A multi-objective evolutionary algorithm is also employed to identify a set of POFs or near-optimal alternatives to the DOE results. Although results from both battle scenarios favor high allocation of M982 1015 for operational effectiveness, the effectiveness of M1156 only proves to be significant in a smaller terrain. A trade-off analysis between operational and cost effectiveness also shows that a substantial amount of M795 60 is needed in the mixes.

Subject Categories:

  • Test Facilities, Equipment and Methods
  • Ammunition and Explosives

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE