Joint Operating Environment: The Joint Force in a Contested and Disordered World
JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF WASHINGTON DC WASHINGTON
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The Joint Force faces two persistent realities. First, the security environment is always in flux. Change is relentless and occurs in all aspects of human endeavor. Ideas about how human beings should govern one another emerge, spread, and then fade away. Advances in science and technology progress and proliferate. Countries and political groups simultaneously cooperate and compete based on their relative power, capabilities, interests, and ideals. Change in the security environment occurs at an irregular pace, and over time small changes compound to shatter our assumptions. Second, the pursuit of political objectives through organized violence is and will remain a feature of the security environment. Strife, conflict, and war are certain to endure through 2035. The future confounds even the most rigorous attempts to accurately predict how it will unfold. Because the future is difficult to predict and understand, warfare often resembles a race between belligerents to correct the consequences of the mistaken beliefs with which they entered combat.1 JOE 2035 provides a space for the Joint Force to think through what we must do to prepare for this race. To peer into the future in a reliable and ultimately useful way involves considering possibilities. Thinking in terms of possibilities requires us to strike a delicate balance between a credible, thorough description of changing trends coupled with the courage to step outside the certitudes and assumptions of today and imagine the range of potential events that might alter our world.
- Government and Political Science
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics