Accession Number:

AD1042022

Title:

The Complexity of Threats to Nuclear Strategic Deterrence Posture

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report

Corporate Author:

AIR WAR COLL MAXWELL AFB AL MAXWELL AFB United States

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2017-02-07

Pagination or Media Count:

29.0

Abstract:

Taking into account the enduring and pervasive nature of complexity in the global security environment, and the threats that will likely evolve, this paper attempted to answer the question of how current and future threats in the global security environment affect nuclear strategic deterrence posture. The purpose of this research was to examine in detail the complexity of foreseeable threats to effective nuclear strategic deterrence posture. The methodology utilized to conduct this study and test the hypothesis was a qualitative research approach using the dependent variable of nuclear strategic deterrence posture, and four independent variables of the future global security environment, a status quo but things are improving, a status quo but things are getting worse, and the occurrence of a game-changing event. Findings revealed that numerous complexities of the future global security environment as well as intricacies involving each scenario indelibly affect nuclear strategic deterrence posture. Ultimately, the strategy, modernization efforts, and force structure of the nuclear enterprise must adapt and maintain the ability to deter current and emerging threats in the next 20 years.

Subject Categories:

  • Nuclear Warfare
  • Government and Political Science
  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE