Hidden in Plain Sight: Signs of Great Power War
AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL MAXWELL AFB United States
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This thesis analyzes the origins of World War I and todays US-China relationship within a worldview consisting of four factors that increase the risk of great power war. Prior to World War I, four signposts were prevalent a hegemonic challenger, a power imbalance, a series of repeated crises, and entangling alliances. These signposts made great power war more likely during the 1914 July Crisis. Nuclear weapons, a different international order, and geography are clear differences in this historical analogy. However, the four basic factors are evident in todays Asian-Pacific region. A worldview that ignores the increased risk of great power conflict will leave leaders with strategic blind spots and, ultimately, failure. Great power conflict has not gone away.
- Government and Political Science
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics