Accession Number:

AD1029794

Title:

Ensemble Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Genesis

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report,02 Sep 2013,30 Sep 2016

Corporate Author:

HAWAII UNIV HONOLULU (MANOA CAMPUS) HONOLULU United States

Personal Author(s):

• Li,Tim

Report Date:

2017-02-23

Pagination or Media Count:

11.0

Abstract:

In this project, we develop an ensemble tropical cyclone TC genesis forecast model based on multiple data sources including NOGAPS, NCEP and ECMWF global model output for the period of 2004-2012. A nonlinear regression formulation is used to combine optimal key meteorological variables that control TC formation. The constructed TC genesis forecast model is implemented and tested at Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC.

Descriptors:

• tropical cyclones
• atmospheric sciences
• cyclones
• meteorology
• climate
• environment
• weather forecasting
• wind
• CYCLONES

Subject Categories:

• Meteorology

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE