Hybrid Threat Center of Gravity Analysis: Cutting the Gordian Knot
Technical Report,22 Jul 2015,04 Apr 2016
Joint Forces Staff College Norfolk United States
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Center of Gravity COG constructs currently in practice either fall short of providing a useful method for discerning a hybrid threats COG or omit the concept entirely. This critical deficiency in threat analysis may result in the implementation of improper strategies and operational designs to defeat these threats due to the dilemmas created by hybrid adversaries. This thesis defines a COG as the actors main effort to achieve its objectives and proposes an analytical method for hybrid threat COG analysis and hypothesizes that identifying a hybrid threats operational COG as the modality of principal use enables rapid understanding. This methodology is applied to the 2006 Lebanon War and 2014 Russian invasion of Ukraine.