Accession Number:

AD1016317

Title:

Risk, Uncertainty, and Trouble: Escaping the RUT of Program Instability

Descriptive Note:

Journal Article

Corporate Author:

Electronic Systems Center Hanscom AFB United States

Personal Author(s):

• Shimel,Brian

Report Date:

2008-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

4.0

Abstract:

When we say we are stuck in a rut, we imply our often repeated actions are forced on us by things outside our control. As if to say, we are not really as crazy as we look. But what if we build our own rut and then act as if we have no choice When we talk about things that will happen in the future, we must remember those things have not yet happened. Because they have not happened, we must allow for the possibility they may happen differently from the way we expect, at different times, or not at all.

Descriptors:

• cost estimates
• weapon systems
• department of defense
• financial management
• cost analysis
• uncertainty
• combat effectiveness
• contractors
• risk analysis
• program management
• management planning and control

Subject Categories:

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE