Accession Number:

AD1016006

Title:

Delphi, Dice and Dominos: Techniques to Understand and Mitigate Technical Risk

Descriptive Note:

Journal Article

Corporate Author:

Defense Systems Management College Fort Belvoir United States

Personal Author(s):

• Gallop,David L.

Report Date:

2015-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

4.0

Abstract:

It is no secret that our programs are becoming increasingly complex and interdependent. With that complexity and interdependency come both opportunity and technical risk. There are three simple techniques any program can use to understand and mitigate technical risk.

Descriptors:

• environmental management
• probability distributions
• business administration
• project management
• simulations
• uncertainty
• acquisition
• systems engineering
• delphi method
• cost estimates
• monte carlo method
• risk management

Subject Categories:

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE