A Quality Process Performance Model for Software Development Projects: Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Predict Interim and Final Product Quality
309th Software Maintenance Group/520th Software Sustainment Squadron Hill AFB United States
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Summary The Software Maintenance Group at Hill Air Force Base has created a Quality Model applicable formost software development projects. Quality is modeled by predicting defect injection and removal using historical data. Variation is taken into account by using a MonteCarlo Simulation to adjust estimates, defect injection rates and defect detection ratios. Interim results can be used to guide the project toward a final quality goal. Actual data replaces projected in the model as the project progresses.