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Incorporating Resilience into Dynamic Social Models

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Technical Report,01 Mar 2013,23 Nov 2014

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University of Texas at El Paso El Paso United States

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We propose an overarching framework designed to incorporate various aspects of social resilience, through the melding of independent resilience functions, each representing a definition or measure of resilience, into a comprehensive model. This framework generates a generic resilience function which integrates key aspects of resilience, such as stability and ability to recover. In this paper, we introduce a theoretical foundation, and then calibrate our model so that it matches reality with acceptable explanations using established social theories. The model also considers the dynamic properties of social resilience across cultures, geographical environments, economic developments, and other evolving factors, as well as resilience to the aforementioned dynamic impulses. As a demonstration of capability, we modeled the resilience of a fishing community along the coastal region of Somalia 1991 2012 during the waxing and waning of coastal piracy.

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