Accession Number:

AD1009308

Title:

Decision Making in Chaos

Descriptive Note:

Technical Report

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA MONTEREY United States

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2015-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

97.0

Abstract:

How do military special operations officers make quick decisions in complex, fast-moving combat environments where the quality and speed of a decision could mean the difference between life and death This qualitative study of Army and Navy special operations officers explores the factors that contribute to each individuals decision-making process. The findings reveal that chaos is a function of enemy sense breaking efforts, and to overcome this, leaders must first internalize the gravity of their current circumstances, a process referred to as sense conversion. After this point they are able to begin the sense making process that allows them to make an informed decision. This study led to a model of rapid decision making that revealed both the individual process as well as external factors, such as cohesion, that played critical roles in their ability to make decisions in chaos.

Subject Categories:

  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
  • Psychology

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE