Black Swan Event Assessment for Fort Leonard Wood, Missouri
U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center Champaign United States
Pagination or Media Count:
Emergency preparation typically involves evaluating disaster potential and consequences, followed by disaster preparedness. Potentials are informed by history, with the easy human belief that we must obviously prepare for the past. There is a class of disasters that in-volve events that may not have been anticipated, but in hindsight appear to be obviously overlooked. This report attempts to identify such black swan events, potential disasters in the Fort Leonard Wood area that might well attract more attention in future planning ex-ercises.