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Terrorism, Governance, and Development

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Technical Report,01 May 2009,30 Sep 2015

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The Trustees of Princeton University Princeton United States

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The Terrorism, Governance, and Development TGD collaborative project produced independent, rigorous, social science research on national security issues. A primary objective was to develop better theories about the impact of aid programs on terrorist and insurgent violence. To do so, the TGD Team designed and refined a theoretical framework that has been empirically tested with fine-grained, local data from multiple conflicts. TGD researchers implemented a range of design-based inferential approaches to rigorously evaluate newly developed models and re-examined existing theories of conflict. Conflicts from the following countries were studied Afghanistan, Colombia, Egypt, India, Iraq, Kenya, Mexico, Northern Ireland, Pakistan, the Philippines, and Vietnam. The TGD model is now used as a benchmark game-theoretic model by other researchers, and researchers who are not part of TGD are finding results consistent with the model. Forty-four journal articles were published. The project trained a cohort of young scholars, including Assistant Professors at 20 leading universities. The investigators frequently briefed policy makers and established the Empirical Studies of Conflict ESOC project that will continue this research agenda. Data are available at

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