Accession Number:

AD0817486

Title:

OPTIMUM SYSTEMS CHOICE FOR STRATEGIC RETALIATION: AN APPLICATION OF MAX- MIN THEORY

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept.

Corporate Author:

NAVAL ORDNANCE LAB WHITE OAK MD

Personal Author(s):

• Phipps, Jr, T. E.

Report Date:

1967-04-20

Pagination or Media Count:

62.0

Abstract:

An application of the mathematical theory of max-min developed by John M. Danskin has been made to the problem of optimum systems choice for strategic retaliation. One opponent seeks to maximize his strike-second capability while the other seeks to minimize it by pre-emptive blunting. Both are subject to total-resource limitations and both are fully cognizant of each others systems options. The present report 1 reviews the mathematical model and its solution 2 discusses the problem of parameter evaluation 3 describes preliminary results obtained from sample calculations with semi- realistic parameter values 4 undertakes the beginnings of a parametric sensitivity analysis and 5 examines limitations of the model.

Descriptors:

• *WAR GAMES
• *MINIMAX TECHNIQUE
• MATHEMATICAL MODELS
• MILITARY STRATEGY
• OPTIMIZATION
• COST EFFECTIVENESS
• GAME THEORY
• KILL PROBABILITIES
• WEAPON SYSTEMS
• VULNERABILITY

Subject Categories:

• Economics and Cost Analysis
• Operations Research
• Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE