Long-Range Forecasting of Scientific-Technological Progress
AIR FORCE SYSTEMS COMMAND WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH FOREIGN TECHNOLOGY DIVISION
Pagination or Media Count:
Classification of forecasts is known as first echelon--for 15-20 years ahead second echelon--for the first decade of the 21st century and third echelon--for approximately 100 years ahead. At the present time there is a necessity to speak of a fourth echelon of long-range forecasting for an even longer period of time--for several centuries, and perhaps even longer. The report deals with the questions Is it necessary to be concerned with so long- range a forecast and is it necessary in light of the tasks that stand before us in the contemporary situation.
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