Gaming: Prospective for Forecasting
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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Gaming, including many distinct types of techniques, has long been used for many purposes, including the forecasting of mans affairs. The activity has many unrecognized and unrealized potentials, since all the fundamental conceptual issues have not been thoroughly developed and many fundamental questions remain unanswered. Concepts and questions are discussed, and several directions for research in the international relations setting are sketched out. These include technical issues related to game size, supporting data, and methods of validation and substantive issues related to terrorism, crisis decisionmaking, deception, and wars termination.
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