Accession Number:

AD0777691

Title:

Long Term Projections of Political and Military Power,

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

MATHEMATICA INC PRINCETON N J

Report Date:

1973-01-01

Pagination or Media Count:

243.0

Abstract:

Techniques of Long Term Projections were evaluated. Among these the most useful tools were identified and applied. Major results Japan and Western Europe will be increasingly dependent on outside energy resource support which may induce politicalmilitary dependence. China was identified as increasingly expansive in economic development capable of sustaining industrial growth rates between 10 and 20 percent over the next decades. Even though, indications are that by 1990 China will only have caught up in absolute terms with the level of economic development of the 1970 USSR. The production and consumption of energy, and the regional energy resource balances were found to be the only major physical variable that will importantly influence regional power relations over the next decades. Modified author abstract

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science
  • Military Intelligence

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE