Accession Number:

AD0777063

Title:

Quantifying Uncertainty Into Numerical Probabilities for the Reporting of Intelligence

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1973-07-01

Pagination or Media Count:

58.0

Abstract:

Within intelligence systems, it is important to assess the probability that certain events will occur and to determine the reliability of information on them. Any degree of uncertainty over these events or the information can be quantified into numerical probabilities, which can then be readily and accurately communicated within the system. Four advantages which stem from using numerical probabilities are discussed.

Subject Categories:

  • Operations Research

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE