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Direct Estimation Procedures for Eliciting Judgments About Uncertain Events
MICHIGAN UNIV ANN ARBOR ENGINEERING PSYCHOLOGY LAB
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The report re-analyses data from five studies concerned with methods for eliciting judgments about uncertain events. It focuses on response modes, such as odds, likelihood ratios, etc. whether or not the response required the subject to aggregate items of data in his head whether the scale on which the response was made logarithmic or linear and whether the subject received additional feedback about the implications of his estimates in the course of making them.
APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE