Development of the E-2 Weighted Airman Promotion System,
AIR FORCE HUMAN RESOURCES LAB BROOKS AFB TEX
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To conform with new Air Force requirements for grade and promotion controls the Air Training Command found it necessary to develop a fair and visible system for selecting the top 15 of each Basic Military School class for promotion to E-2 upon completion of training. A candidate system was developed by the Personnel Research Division of the Air Force Human Resources Laboratory in a policy capturing study in which a six-man promotion policy board was convened to rank-order a representative BMT airman sample for promotion. The rankings performed by the board were done with respect to each trainees promotability taking into account the following five promotion factors identified by ATC The average score on the AFQT and four AQEs the overall grade on the 25th day of training proficiency evaluations the BMT written examination the Military Training Instructor recommendation score and the student leader score. Using regression analysis, each board members promotion policy was expressed in terms of a mathematical equation, and the system of regression weights developed for each board member was used in deriving, by a hiearchial grouping method the overall policy representing a consensus on the promotion policy. In general, there was high intra-rater consistency throughout the large number of records reviewed by board members. The derived promotion policy equation weights efficiently replicated the individual policies of a majority of board members. This paper describes the composition and operation of the policy board, the sample of Basic Military Training personnel records which were examined, and the statistical analysis.
- Personnel Management and Labor Relations