Accession Number:

AD0761726

Title:

Development and Application of an Analog Scheme for Predicting the Intensification of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1973-03-01

Pagination or Media Count:

95.0

Abstract:

Various meteorological parameters were examined to determine their predictive value for forecasting intensity changes of Western North Pacific tropical cyclones using an analog forecast scheme. A number of procedures were devised to quantitatively define the forecast potentials of these parameters in a systematic method. Based on the results of these procedures, predictors for the 24-hour, 48-hour, and 72-hour forecast periods were defined. To evaluate the skill of the predictors and the procedures used to define them, an analog intensification forecast scheme was developed and applied to a number of test cyclones. Modified author abstract

Subject Categories:

  • Meteorology

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE