Army Manpower Prediction System (AMPS).
Final rept. Jun 72-Feb 73 on Phase 1,
GENERAL ELECTRIC CO WASHINGTON D C
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A review is presented of the Armys personnel management and information system to determine its weaknesses and to determine how the system can be modified, and at what cost, to improve the Armys capability, given alternative situations and policies, to predict the active duty strength in terms of officers and enlisted personnel at certain future dates. The need for more effective integration of manpower projections is examined. Major recommendations include development of a Central Integrating Model CIM to project losses, simulate promotions, and project strength up to five years in the future by grade, years of service, management grouping and other selected attributes CIM would also cost the force use of a marketingsurvey technique called Decision Elements Analysis to predict enlistments and reenlistments use of the Automatic Interaction Detector AID technique to predict loss rates and the development of a comprehensive Army Personnel Plan to guide all manpower and management actions. Author
- Personnel Management and Labor Relations