A Lanchester Model for Air Battles
AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING
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A historical verification, comparing data with model predictions, was made between the results of three World War 2 bombing missions and the outcome which was obtained by allowing an analytical model to replay the battles. The model used to predict bomber force size as a function of time was a closed form solution for a set of differential equations which correspond to Frederick Lanchesters Square Law of combat. An attempt to measure the quality of the model was made by arbitrarily considering a prediction to be accurate if it was within two per cent of the known force size value.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics