An Experiment on the Sensitivity of a Global Circulation Model: Studies in Climate Dynamics for Environmental Security
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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Results are given for a series of six 60-day integrations of the Mintz-Arakawa two-level, global-circulation model, designed to test the hypothesis that sizable changes in boundary conditions could be detected in the solutions even in the presence of uncertainties in the initial conditions. The variables considered are zonally averaged and time averaged values from the last 30 days of each 60-day run the significance of the changes is tested by a classical analysis-of-variance technique.