Requirements for Simulated Occupancy Conditions of Large Protective Shelters - Phase II.
Final rept. 1970-1971,
AMERICAN INSTITUTES FOR RESEARCH PITTSBURGH PA
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The study represents an extension to Phase 1 which provided the introductory and background information for the development of a computerized predictive model of postattack social environment. Phase 11 demonstrated the technical feasibility of such a computerized simulation and attempted to broaden the data base related specifically to shelter management actions. In a comprehensive literature review of the material relating to shelter management it was determined that a common baseline has never been established for evaluating the effectiveness of various shelter management characteristics. For this reasons, it was not possible to quantify the findings in a manner suitable for programming and incorporate them in the model. While the concept of shelter management simulation has considerable inherent value as a predictive tool, its future development requires the support of a systematic program of research in order to provide the necessary mathematical data base. Author
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