Analysis of Crisis Decision-Making
CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA
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The paper analyzes two crisis situations for the United States the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962, and the Gulf of Tonkin Incident, 1964. The study is intended to be of assistance to decision makers and students of political science in categorizing lessons learned from the past and invite attention to recurrent issues. Using Paiges Korean Crisis propositions, a correlation analysis was made to determine their applicability to the latter crises. The range of correlation was obtained using a go, no-go principle. A crisis decision model is presented to explain the sequential behavior in the referenced cases.
- Government and Political Science